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Episode #11 – Tampa Bay Cap, Dougie Hamilton a UFA, NHL Awards, Third Round Predictions & DFS Picks

Dougie Hamilton
Fantasy Hockey Hacks

Fantasy Hockey Hacks

Welcome back to the Fantasy Hockey Hacks Podcast!

In the eleventh episode of the podcast, Devon, Bruce, and John discuss recent news from around the NHL, including playoff performances from Tyler Toffoli, Cole Caufield, and Brayden Point (plays his best when it matters). The Lightning are playing by the rules, but should the NHL and NHLPA make adjustments so that teams can’t circumvent the cap? It’s also NHL Award season, so the guys discuss award nominations and provide predictions for the winners. We also talk about the third round of the playoffs – the Tampa Bay Lightning have evened the series with the New York Islanders; and the Montreal Canadiens go down 1-0 early to the Vegas Golden Knights. We wrap up the episode with our DFS picks for the week.

Highlights:

  • Tyler Toffoli has been a massive acquisition for the Montreal Canadiens
  • Cole Caufield has been impressive
  • Vegas comes back from a 2-0 deficit, takes series against Colorado 4-2
    • Changes coming to Colorado in the off-season?
  • NHL Award nominees, and our predictions.
    • Norris Trophy discussion – who should have been nominated?
  • Gerard Gallant hired as New York Rangers head coach
  • DFS/Draft King picks for the upcoming week (June 14th – 21st)

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Hockey News | June 7 – June 15th 

  • June 7th | Tyler Toffoli scored the overtime winner on a pass from rookie Cole Caufield. Montreal Canadiens sweep the Winnipeg Jets. 🧹👀
    • Keep an eye on both players ahead of fantasy drafts for next season. 
    • Tyler Toffoli had 44 points (28 goals) in 52 games this past regular season. 10 points in 11 games so far this post-season. 

  • June 8th | Vegas takes a 3-2 series lead on OT winner by Mark Stone. What a goal!

  • June 8th | Tampa Bay closes out series with Carolina, 4-1. What a goal by Brayden Point. 
    • Point has 42 points (21 goals) over his past two post-seasons! 👀
      • DRAFTER BEWARE: Point tends to step up his production during the playoffs. With the exception of his 90 point season, Brayden Point has not produced at a point/game pace. 

    • June 8th | According to Daniel Nugent-Bowman of The Athletic, sources close to the Edmonton Oilers have stated that the team will almost certainly go 7-3-1 in the Seattle Expansion Draft. 

  • June 9th | Victor Hedman, Cale Makar, and Adam Fox are your Norris Trophy Candidates for 2020-2021. 

    • Any other candidates worthy of consideration? Charlie McAvoy certainly could have been nominated, at least according to @JFreshHockey on Twitter. Check out the full thread below. 

    • Devon’s Pick: Adam Fox
      • 47 points (2nd among defencemen) in 55 GP. 
        • 70 point pace over 82 games
        • 23 PPP
        • 24:42 TOI, +19
        • HM: Cale Makar, Charlie McAvoy
    • Bruce’s Pick: Cale Makar
    • John’s Pick:  Victor Hedman
  • June 10th | Hart Trophy nominees announced. Connor McDavid (EDM), Auston Matthews (TOR), and Nathan MacKinnon (COL). 
    • Devon’s Pick: Connor McDavid
    • Bruce’s Pick: Connor McDavid
    • John’s Pick: Connor McDavid

 

  • June 11th | Jack Adams nominees announced – Joel Quenville (FLA), Rod Brind’Amour (CAR), Dean Evason (MIN). 
    • Devon’s Pick: Rod Brind’Amour
      • The Hurricanes finished 3rd in the league with 80 points and a +43 goal differential. 
      • Bruce’s Pick: Dean Evason
      • John’s Pick: Brind’Amour
  • June 13th | New York Islanders take game one in series against Tampa Bay. Goals by Barzal and Pulock for NYI, Point for Tampa. 
  • June 14th | Vegas Golden Knights win game one against the Montreal Canadiens, 4-1. 
  • June 15th | Gerard Gallant has been hired as the head coach for the New York Rangers. Pierre Lebrun is reporting that the 4 year deal is worth about $3.5M annually. 

 

Third Round Predictions | June 14 – June 21st

  • New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
    • Who wins? 
      • Lightning are -175 favourites
      • Tampa 6-3-1 in last 10 vs. NYI
      • The Athletic favours: 69.3% for TB 
      • MoneyPuck.com favours: 49.1% for TB
    • Devon’s Pick: New York Islanders in 7
    • Bruce’s Pick: New York Islanders in 7
    • John’s Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning in 6
  • Vegas Golden Knights vs. Montreal Canadiens
    • Who wins? 
      • Vegas is -260 favourites
      • Montreal is 5-1-0 in last 10 vs. VGK
      • The Athletic favours: 77.7% for VGK
      • MoneyPuck.com favours: 64.3% for VGK
    • Devon’s Pick: Vegas Golden Knights in 5
    • Bruce’s Pick: Vegas Golden Knights in 5
    • John’s Pick: Vegas Golden Knights in 5

DFS Picks | June 14 – June 21st

FORWARDS

  • Tyler Toffoli, MTL | DK Salary: $6,500
    • Averaging 11.46 FPPG over his last 10 contests. 
    • 11 points (4 goals), 28 SOG, 4 BkS in 12 games played. 
    • Averaging 17:52 TOI
  • Nick Suzuki, MTL | DK Salary: $6,100
    • Averaging 9.1 FPPG over his last 10 contests. 
    • 8 points (4 goals), 25 SOG, 10 BkS in 12 games played. 
    • Averaging 18:36 TOI
  • Brayden Point, TB | DK Salary: $7,000
    • Averaging 10.4 FPPG over his last 10 contests. 
    • 13 points (9 goals), 30 SOG, 1 BkS in 12 games played. 
    • Averaging 19:17 TOI
  • Brock Nelson, NYI | DK Salary: $5,300
    • Averaging 8.3 FPPG over his last 10 contests. 
    • 10 points (6 goals), 25 SOG, 2 BkS in 13 games played. 
    • Averaging 18:08 TOI
  • Alex Tuch, VGK | DK Salary: $4,700
    • Averaging 9.3 FPPG over his last 10 contests. 
    • 8 points (4 goals), 30 SOG, 12 BkS in 14 games played. 
    • Averaging 16:05 TOI
    • 3rd on the Golden Knights in expected goals for at 1.63. 

 

DEFENCEMEN

  • Alex Pieterangelo, VGK | DK Salary: $6,400
    • Averaging 12.7 FPPG over his last 10 contests. 
    • 8 points (1 goal), 46 SOG (3rd among skaters), 36 BkS (3rd among skaters) in 13 games played. 
    • Averaging 24:00 TOI
  • Shea Weber, MTL | DK Salary: $5,000
    • Averaging 8.3 FPPG over his last 10 contests. 
    • 3 points, 28 SOG (7th among dmen), 15 BkS (30th among skaters) in 11 games played. 
    • Averaging 25:28 TOI
  • Alec Martinez, VGK | DK Salary: $5,600
    • Averaging 11.9 FPPG over his last 10 contests. 
    • 4 points (2 goals), 22 SOG (55th among skaters), 52 BkS (1st among skaters) in 13 games played. 
    • Averaging 21:15 TOI

GOALIES

  • Andrei Vasilevskiy, TB | DK Salary: $8,000
    • Averaging “18.1” FPPG over his last 10 contests. 
    • 2nd best SV% of these playoffs at .934
    • 1st in goals saved above expected (12.9 according to MoneyPuck.com.

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