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Fantasy Hockey Week 26 Waiver Wire Picks & Preview

Fantasy Hockey Week 26 Waiver Wire Picks & Preview
Fantasy Hockey Hacks

Fantasy Hockey Hacks

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Fantasy Hockey Week 26 Waiver Wire Picks & Preview

In the 57th episode of the Fantasy Hockey Hacks Podcast, the FHH team discusses week 26 in the NHL – John’s List & Fantasy Lock Of The Week, Headlines With The Hacks, Ask The Hacks, and Edge Work (Schedule Notes, Week 26 Waiver Wire Picks). Subscribe to our podcast on all major directories; and stay up to date with the latest in fantasy hockey news and fantasy hockey advice. Be sure to visit LeftWingLock.com, the best source for fantasy hockey intelligence; and The Hockey Podcast Network for more great hockey-related content.

Highlights:
  • Sidney Crosby hits 1400 career points
  • Auston Matthews sets new franchise record for goals scored in a single-season
  • Robert Thomas is is crushing it for the Blues, go pick up now
  • Jack Hughes is done for the season
  • Max Pacioretty returns from injury
  • 100 points for Roman Josi?
  • John’s List/Fantasy Lock Of The Week, Headlines With The Hacks, Fact Or Fiction, Ask The Hacks, Edge Work – Schedule Notes, Edge Work – Waiver Wire

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John’s List

If you have been listening to our podcast for a while, you’ve undoubtedly heard about “John’s List”; which is basically John’s $h!t list of players past and present. We’ve decided to make this a regular segment on the podcast and will include it in the blog for fun as well. If you have any suggestions for players we should add to the list, let us know!

Cam Talbot…

Fantasy Lock Of The Week (March 28 – April 3, 2022) | Presented by Left Wing Lock
🔥Auston Matthews C, 100% Rostered (Yahoo)

11 Points, 7 Goal, 3 PPP, 33 SOG, 80.2% PP Share, 21:39 ATOI in 4 games played. Auston Matthews set a Maple Leafs franchise record for most goals scored in a single-season with 55. 1 point shy of his first 100-point season, and just 2 goals shy of being the first NHLer to score 60 goals in a season since Steven Stamkos in 2011-2012! If you’re a gambler, Matthews is the odds on favorite to win the Hart Trophy this season at -275! Connor McDavid is the next closest at +350. Wow.     

Honorable Mentions: Robert Thomas (8 points – 3 goals, 5 assists, 1 GWG, 2 PPP, 9 SOG, +6, 49.5% PP share, 18:23 TOI in 4 GP). I’m sure many fantasy hockey managers are thanking Thomas for helping them move on to the next round of playoffs this week, as he posted multiple points in 3 of his 4 games this past week. Mike Smith (3-0-0, 1.33 GAA, .959 SV%). The 40-year old had an incredible week, becoming the first netminder in franchise history to sweep the California teams on the road. We also have to mention that incredible sequence against the Sharks earlier this week where a great save, and a heads-up pass to Connor, resulted in an OT win.

 

Headlines With The Hacks (News & Injuries) | April 4 – 10, 2022

Our partner, Left Wing Lock, has developed a playoff probabilities tool! See what the odds are that your favourite team will qualify for the post-season! You can see that list here.

April 4
  • The NHL stars of the week for March 28 – April 3rd: Connor McDavid w/ 8 Points (5G, 3A) in 4 games; Aleksander Barkov w/ 8 Points (5G, 3A) in 4 games; Semyon Varlamov w/ 3-0-0 record, 1.67 GAA, .952 SV% and 1 shutout.

  • Anze Kopitar and Vladimir Terasenko both reached the 60 point mark on Monday night. 
  • Robert Thomas is now up to 23 points in 13 games and is still available in almost 50% leagues. Go get him now!!!
April 5
  • Ryan Getzlaf announced he will retire at the end of this season. 

  • Brock Besser is out indefinitely with an upper body injury. Believed to be his arm.
  • Bowen Byram will return to the Avalanche lineup Tuesday night.
  • David Pastrnak missed Tuesday, Friday and Sunday nights games with an injury
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have activated Jake Muzzin off of LTIR
  • Jack Hughes will miss the rest of the season with a MCL sprain

  • Ryan Strome returned to the Rangers lineup on Tuesday
April 6
  • Kyle Connor and Nate Schmidt returned to the Jets lineup on Wednesday after being out with Covid
April 7
  • Doug Wilson stepped down as GM of the Sharks on Thursday. He has been on medical leave since November
  • Roman Josi sets a Nashville Predators franchise record for points in one season with 87. Has a shot at a 100 point season

  • Auston Matthews scored 2 goals on Thursday giving him 56 on the season and the Leafs record for most goals in a season

  • Bo Horvat reached the 30 goal plateau for the 1st time in his career
  • Phillip Grubauer of the Seattle Kraken earned his 20th career shutout in a win over the Blackhawks Thursday night
  • After scoring 6 points in his last 2 games. Elias Pettersson now has 38 points (19G, 19A) in his last 35 games
  • Mathieu Joseph of the Ottawa Senators now has 10 points in his last 4 games. A change of scenery has done him well. 
  • Since Jan 1st Mitch Marner has 68 points in 38 games
  • Tim Stutzle missed Thursday and Saturday and Sunday games to to a lower body(knee) injury
April 8
  • Matt Dumba and Matt Boldy both missed Friday nights game due to injuries

April 9
  • Auston Matthews has now scored 51 goals in his last 50 games. Wow!
  • Max Pacioretty returned to the lineup for the Vegas Golden Knights on Saturday

  • Samuel Girard return to the lineup for the Colorado Avalanche on Saturday
  • Jonathan Drouin is out for the season after having surgery on his wrist
  • Jordan Kyrou returned to the St Louis Blues lineup on Saturday
  • Dylan Larkin played in his 500th career game on Saturday 

  • Kaapo Kakko returned to the Rangers lineup on Saturday after missing 31 games with a wrist injury
  • Nico Hischier set a career high in points on Saturday with 53 points

April 10
  • Sidney Crosby should consider a boxing career after landing a left hook on Nic Dowd on Saturday. Crosby didn’t even  have to sit in the penalty box… The Capitals scored on the delayed penalty call. Dylan Larkin was suspended one game for a similar punch earlier in the season. Crosby did played in Sunday’s game vs Nashville

  • Some NCAA Players to keep an eye on. 
    • Owen Power signed his ELC with the Sabres he could play as soon as Tuesday according to reports. 
    • Bobby Brink signed a 3 year ELC with the Flyers. He was this season’s leading scorer in the NCAA and a Hobey Baker Finalist. 
    • Kent Johnson (5th overall pick in 2021) signed his ELC with the Blue Jackets; he is expected to join the BLue Jackets on Monday. 
    • Dryden McKay, an undrafted goalie from Minnesota State won the Hobey Baker Award. He can sign with any team.. (Hey Edmonton? Hint hint). 
    • Matty Beniers has signed his 3 year ELC with the Seattle Kraken. Beniers was the 2nd overall pick in the 2021 entry draft.
  • Sidney Crosby scored his 1400 career point on Sunday vs Nashville

Ask The Hacks

  • Would you drop Vitek Vanecek for Chris Driedger? 
  • Only 1 game next Monday. I’m looking ahead for a streamer (Monday, Wednesday). Paul Stastny, Rem Pitlick, or Josh Anderson? Categories include: H2H G,A, +/-, SOG, PPP, HITS.
  • I’d have to sacrifice my streaming spot for Robert Thomas, as I was planning on dropping Vanecek to stream. Worth it?
  • Keep 3 for next year: Auston Matthews, Victor Hedman, Kyle Connor, Alex Barkov
  • Hi guys. I’m looking to drop a goalie so I can maximize my roster for next Mon and Wed games. Would you drop Wedgewood? Maybe I’m over thinking it but I got a lot of players sitting because my Tue/Thur/Sat game rosters are full.

Edge Work | NHL Schedule, Week 26

Need To Know: 

Week 26 in the NHL features a total of 53 games on the schedule, with typical “light days” (50% or fewer NHL teams in action) falling on Monday, Wednesday, Friday, and Sunday. The difference this week is that the “light days” are very light, particularly on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday with just 1, 4, and 2 games respectively. If you’re looking to optimize your number of games played throughout the week, there are 2 teams that play 3 games on “light days” – Montreal and Winnipeg. Of those two teams, Montreal has the easier schedule, particularly towards the latter part of the week when Winnipeg takes on Florida and Tampa Bay. There are 4 teams – Columbus, Florida, Philadelphia, New York Islanders – that play 2 games on “light days”. Of those teams, Florida would be the team to target; obviously the strongest offense of the four, but also a favourable schedule at -14 according to Left Wing Lock. The Vancouver Canucks are the lone team to play just two games this week, so if you’re rostering fringe fantasy players from that roster, it would be a good idea to look elsewhere. The good news is that the Canucks do not play back-to-back games, so Demko owners can probably rely on 2 starts from him. One final note, Philadelphia has 2 sets of back-to-back games (WSH/NYR, BUF/BUF), so expect Martin Jones to see a couple starts. Jones could be a nice streaming option as the second game in both back-to-backs falls on “light days”. Jones in his last 7 games: 3-4-0, 2.73 GAA, .922 SV%, 2.6270 GSAA.  

  • Monday – 1 Games
  • Tuesday – 14 Games
  • Wednesday – 4 Games
  • Thursday – 12 Games
  • Friday – 2 Games
  • Saturday – 14 Games
  • Sunday – 6 Games
Teams With 4 Games: BUF, DET, MIN, MTL, NSH, NYI, PHI, SJS, STL, TOR, WPG
Team Of Interest | Toronto Maple Leafs (Strength of Schedule: -12) 
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have the 7th best points percentage in the NHL over the past 4 weeks with a record of 9-3-2. Their 4.36 goals for per game played (GF/GP) is 2nd only to the Edmonton Oilers (4.69 GF/GP) over that span; the power play ranks 3rd (31.6%), and possession metrics are very good (54.3 USAT%, 5th). Toronto has a fairly favourable schedule for next week with matchups against Buffalo (5-2-3 last 10 GP), Washington (6-4-0 last 10 GP), Ottawa (5-4-1 last 10 GP), and the New York Islanders (6-4-0 last 10 GP). Toronto has just 1 back-to-back next week, but it could be a nice spot start with Kallgren likely getting a start against either Ottawa or New York. Record This Season Against Upcoming Opponents: 6-3-0| Players To Consider: Michael Bunting (50%), Ilya Mikheyev (7%), Jake Muzzin (24%), Mark Giordano (56%), Erik Kallgren (17%).
Teams With 3 Games: ANA, ARI, BOS, CAR, CBJ, CGY, CHI, COL, DAL, EDM, FLA, LAK, NJD, NYR, OTT, PIT, SEA, TB, VGK, WSH
Team Of Interest | Calgary Flames (Strength of Schedule: -26) 
  • The Calgary Flames make another appearance in our Edge Work segment, and with good reason; the Flames -26 strength of schedule is the easiest of any team for the upcoming week. Calgary takes on 3 teams that are currently out of the playoff picture – Seattle (5-5-0 last 10 GP), Vegas (7-3-0 last 10 GP), and Arizona (2-7-1 last 10 GP). If the schedule isn’t convincing enough, the team’s numbers over the past 4 weeks should entice fantasy managers that are still in the hunt for a fantasy hockey championship – 36.3 SOG/GM (3rd), 57.8 USAT% (3rd), 3.43 GF/GP (9th), .643 points percentage (11th), 25.7 PP% (11th). Record This Season Against Upcoming Opponents: 5-1-0| Players To Consider: Tyler Toffoli (57%), Andrew Mangiapane (58%), Blake Coleman (26%), Rasmus Andersson (68%), Noah Hanafin (41%), Dan Vladar (8%).

ALSO: New Jersey Devils (Strength of Schedule: -14). Matchups with Arizona, Colorado, and Seattle. Washington Capitals (Strength of Schedule: -16). Matchups with Philadelphia, Toronto, and Montreal.

Teams With 2 Games: VAN
Team Of Interest | Vancouver Canucks (Strength of Schedule: -20) 

The Vancouver Canucks have a favourable schedule for the upcoming week, with matchups against Vegas (7-3-0 last 10 GP) and Arizona (2-7-1 last 10 GP). There are a few players that could provide fantasy value for the upcoming week (see below); however, our advice at this point in the season would be to focus on acquiring players with at least three starts throughout the week. A player like Oliver Ekman-Larsson could prove valuable as long as Quinn Hughes is out of the lineup, but again volume is key. Record This Season Against Upcoming Opponents: 1-2-0| Players To Consider: Connor Garland (31%), Tanner Pearson (4%), Vasily Podkolzin (3%), Oliver Ekman-Larsson (44%), Luke Schenn (19%), Jaroslav Halak (12%).

Edge Work | NHL Week 26 Waiver Wire Targets

Waiver wire targets will be focused on players with ownership ~50% or less. SOS = Strength of Schedule, according to Left Wing Lock. Lower number = Easier Schedule, Higher Number = Harder Schedule.

Top Waiver Wire Targets

📈 Jeff Skinner (LW), TB | Rostered: 32% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (@TOR, Vs.STL, Vs.PHI, @PHI, -4 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Thompson & Tuch, PP1) 
  • It’s criminal that Jeff Skinner is only rostered in 29% of Yahoo leagues! With a goal against the Florida Panthers on Friday, Skinner reached the 30-goal plateau for the 5th time in his career. Currently on a 5-game point streak, the former Cane has posted 12 points and 6 goals in his last 10 games played. Surprisingly, Skinner’s possession metrics (50.3 SAT%) and 5v5 goal differential (+3) are positive this season. The only minor concern is that Skinner’s individual shooting percentage (13.1%) is slightly elevated relative to his 3-year average (9.8%). The Sabres are an excellent option for the upcoming week with a 4-game schedule, which includes 2 games against the Philadelphia Flyers. Note, Buffalo only plays 4 games in the two weeks that follow, so Skinner is likely a drop candidate for fantasy managers, should they advance past next week. Also: Alex Tuch (22%), 33 points in 40 games played this season; 9 points (2 goals) in his last 10 games played. 
📈 Jake DeBrusk (LW/RW), BOS | Rostered: 36% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (Vs.STL, Vs.OTT, Vs.PIT,  +2 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Bergeron & Marchand, PP2) 
  • What a turn around for Jake DeBrusk this season. Now playing on the top line with Bergeron and Marchand, the 25-year old has collected 11 points (7 goals) in his last 10 games played; and he has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of his last 7 games played. In 150 minutes at 5v5, Bergeron-Marchand-DeBrusk have been fantastic – 65.89 CF%, 66.67 GF%, 70.29 xGF%, 68.89 SCF%, and 72.22 HDCF%. As long as DeBrusk maintains his current deployment, he is worthy of a roster spot. 
📈 JG Pageau (C), NYI | Rostered: 29% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (Vs.PIT, @PIT, @MTL, @TOR, +5 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Palmieri & Bailey, PP1) 
  • JG Pageau is not an elite offensive talent, but if you play in a bangers league that also counts faceoff wins (FOW), the former Sen could contribute some real value to your fantasy hockey roster. Pageau is producing 2.14 Hits/GM and winning 9.43 Face-offs/GM. Since March 1st, the Isles center has posted 18 points (7 goals) in 22 games played. As a bonus, the Islanders just happen to play 4 games in each of the next 2 weeks before playing a standard 3 games in the final week of the regular season.
📈 Mathieu Joseph (C/LW/RW), OTT | Rostered: 25% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (@DET, @BOS, Vs.TOR, +9 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Tkachuk & Norris) 
  • Opportunity (i.e. ice time) is everything for players, and Mathieu Joseph is a prime example of that. In 58 games with the Lightning this season, Joseph managed just 18 points (1.4 Pts/60) and 8 goals in 13:42 TOI/GP. In just 9 games played with the Ottawa Senators, Joseph has posted 11 points (4.3 Pts/60) and 4 goals in 16:53 TOI/GP. It sounds like both Batherson and Stutzle will return to action soon, so keep an eye on Joseph’s deployment. The Sens play 3 games this week and 4 the week after, so no concerns in terms of games played. 
📈 Nicholas Paul (C/LW), TB | Rostered: 6% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (@DAL, Vs.ANA, Vs.WPG, -4 SOS) | Line: 3 (w/ Colton & Hagel) 
  • Nick Paul is experiencing the opposite of what we just discussed with Mathieu Joseph – a decline in overall ice time, but on an elite offensive team. In 10 games prior to being traded, Paul averaged 16:58 TOI; but through his first 10 games in Tampa he has played just 12:46 TOI. That said, Paul does have 5 points (1 goal) in his last 5 games played, and has been playing with Steven Stamkos and Ross Colton at 5v5. Added value from Paul if your league counts hits, he has averaged 2.6 Hits/GM as a member of the Tampa Bay Lightning. 
📈 Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D), VAN | Rostered: 43% (Yahoo) | GP: 2 (Vs.VGK, Vs.ARI, -20 SOS) | Pair: 1 (w/ Schenn) 
  • Oliver Ekman-Larsson has filled-in nicely for the Canucks this season whenever Quinn Hughes has been out of the lineup. Case in point – OEL posted 3 points in 2 games recently with Quinn sidelined, and took over top power play duties. Interesting note, on Saturday night with Hughes back in the lineup, OEL still saw 5:06 on the power play (41% PP share). 7 points in his last 8 games played. Individual shooting percentage (2.6%) is well below his 3-year average (4.3%); and his team’s even-strength shooting percentage (tEVSH%) with him in the ice is currently at just 6.5%, room for some positive regression/luck. 
📈 Gustav Forsling (D), FLA | Rostered: 27% (Yahoo) | GP:3 (Vs.ANA, Vs.WPG, @DET, -14 SOS) | Pair: 1 (w/ Weegar) 
  • Gustav Forsling has already doubled his career output with 32 points, and set a career-high in goals with 6 to date. Playing on the top pairing with Mackenzie Weegar, and getting exposure to Florida’s elite top 6, it’s surprising that his ownership is still so low. 8 points (5 goals) in his last 9 games played. Shooting 3.5 SOG/GM and averaging 21:06 TOI over his last 10 games. Florida’s schedule is quite favourable for the next few weeks. 
📈 Jake Muzzin (D), TOR | Rostered: 24% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (Vs.BUF, Vs.WSH, @OTT, Vs.NYI, -12 SOS) | Pair: 2 (w/ Holl, PP1) 
  • In his first 3 games since returning from injury, Muzzin has just 1 goal, but he has fired 10 SOG (3.33/GM), made 11 hits, and his TOI has gradually increased in each game (19:22 Avg.TOI). Exposure to Toronto’s top 6, and the Leafs play 4 games in each of the next two weeks. UPDATE: Muzzin will miss Tuesday’s game against Buffalo. Keefe expects him to play in the remainder of the games this week. 
📈 Mike Smith (G), EDM | Rostered: 43% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (@MIN, @NSH, Vs.VGK, +11 SOS) | Role: Starter (32% Net Share)
  • Mike Smith, like the Oilers, is smokin’ hot right now! In his last 7 starts, Smith has posted a 6-0-1 record with a 2.13 GAA and .928 SV%. Smith also led the Oilers to the first sweep in California in franchise history. The Oilers went back to Mikko Koskinen on Saturday night, who was brilliant despite getting tagged with a loss in the shootout. The goalie rotation is unpredictable, but it’s worth noting though that Smith has started 6 of the last 9 games for Edmonton. The Oilers have a very tough stretch to finish the season, but the team is playing with a level of confidence that I have not seen in some time; don’t hesitate to grab either goalie. 
📈 Spencer Knight (G), FLA | Rostered: 55% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (Vs.ANA, Vs.WPG, @DET, -14 SOS) | Role: Backup (33% Net Share)
  • I’ll start by mentioning that Sergei Bobrovsky in his last 6 starts has been awful, posting a 3.93 GAA, .861 SV%, and -7.18 GSAA. Spencer Knight stepped in for at least two of those games, and the Panthers clawed back for a couple wins. In his last 7 appearances, Knight has posted a 6-1-0 record, 2.18 GAA, .915 SV%, and 0.617 GSAA. Knight was brilliant on Saturday night, allowing 1 goal on 25 shots versus Nashville. Florida has a great schedule for the upcoming week, Knight could be a very valuable streaming option, should the Panthers come to their senses and start the better goaltender.  
📈 Anton Forsberg (G), OTT | Rostered: 38% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (@DET, @BOS, Vs.TOR, +8 SOS) | Role: Starter (49% Net Share)
  • To date this season, Anton Forsberg has posted career-bests in wins (17), SO (1), GAA (2.80), SV% (.917), and GSAA (8.36). The only concern with his numbers at this point would be his PKSV%, which is high at .914% (league average is .865%). Prior to giving up 5 goals on Saturday night, Forsberg had only given up 3 or fewer goals in his previous 9 games, while posting a 4-4-1 record with a 2.45 GAA, .925 SV%, and a 4.07 GSAA! 3 games next week with no back-to-backs, and 4 games the following week. Great streaming option for fantasy hockey playoffs! 
📈 Chris Driedger (G), SEA | Rostered: 12% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (@CGY, @WPG, Vs.NJD -6 SOS) | Role: Backup (26% Net Share)
  • From March 28th to April 6th Chris Driedger started 4 of 5 games for the Seattle Kraken, posting a 2-2-0 record with a 1.78 GAA, .947 SV%, and 4.65 GSAA. Since then, Seattle has opted to start Grubauer in consecutive starts, leaving any potential value for Driedger in question. Make no mistake, Seattle is not good. However, Driedger could face Winnipeg, Dallas, and Los Angeles in the second half of back-to-backs over the next several weeks. Could offer value for spot starts.

—

Additional names to consider heading into fantasy hockey playoffs: Robert Thomas, Oliver Bjorkstrand, Tim Stutzle, Valeri Nichushkin, Michael Bunting, Tyler Toffoli, Cole Caufield, Jakub Voracek, Rickard Rakell, Anthony Cirelli, Matthew Boldy, Anthony Mantha, Trevor Zegras, Jack Roslovic, Tage Thompson, Ivan Barbashev, Alex Tuch, Jake DeBrusk, Yegor Sharangovich, Damon Severson, Noah Hanifin, Noah Dobson, Nate Schmidt, Rasmus Andersson, Ryan Pulock, Jonathan Quick, Cal Petersen, Anton Forsberg, Antti Raanta, Spencer Knight.

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