Fantasy Hockey Week 27 Waiver Wire Picks & Preview

Fantasy Hockey Week 27 Waiver Wire Picks & Preview

Fantasy Hockey Week 27 Waiver Wire Picks & Preview

In the 58th episode of the Fantasy Hockey Hacks Podcast, the FHH team discusses week 27 in the NHL – John’s List & Fantasy Lock Of The Week, Headlines With The Hacks, Ask The Hacks, and Edge Work (Schedule Notes, Week 27 Waiver Wire Picks). Subscribe to our podcast on all major directories; and stay up to date with the latest in fantasy hockey news and fantasy hockey advice. Be sure to visit LeftWingLock.com, the best source for fantasy hockey intelligence; and The Hockey Podcast Network for more great hockey-related content.

Highlights:
  • Drew Doughty done for the season
  • Chris Kreider Scores 50 goals for the first time
  • Tim Stutzle over a point per game since February 15th
  • Connor Garland hot for Vancouver
  • Frederik Andersen out with injury, Antti Raanta valuable add this week
  • Michael Bunting reaches 60-points
  • Robert Thomas & Vladimir Tarasenko dominant for St. Louis
  • Tristan Jarry week-to-week with a broken foot – add Casey DeSmith
  • John’s List/Fantasy Lock Of The Week (6:24/8:58), Headlines With The Hacks (15:23), Ask The Hacks (39:53), Edge Work – Schedule Notes (53:04), Edge Work – Waiver Wire (1:03:42)

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John’s List

If you have been listening to our podcast for a while, you’ve undoubtedly heard about “John’s List”; which is basically John’s $h!t list of players past and present. We’ve decided to make this a regular segment on the podcast and will include it in the blog for fun as well. If you have any suggestions for players we should add to the list, let us know!

TV programming – Blackouts and trash feeds.

Fantasy Lock Of The Week (April 11 – 17, 2022) | Presented by Left Wing Lock
🔥Vladimir Tarasenko, RW, 91% Rostered (Yahoo)

8 Points, 6 Goals, 2 GWG, 2 PPP, 10 SOG, +4, 49.6% PP Share, 16:00 ATOI in 4 games played. What a bounce-back season for Vladdy Tarasenko! Playing at an 87-point pace, he’s already posted 73 points and 32 goals in 69 games to date this season.

Honorable Mentions: Tim Stutzle (8 points – 5 goals, 3 assists, 1 GWG, 2 PPP, 10 SOG, +6, 72.6% PP share, 19:45 TOI in 3 GP). As you’ll see in our Edge Work segment below, we’re big on Tim Stutzle right now – 29 points in his last 28 games dating back to February 15th.  Mike Smith (2-0-0, 69 SAVES for 2 Shutouts, 0.00 GAA, 1.00 SV%). What else needs to be said about Mike Smith right now? Possibly the hottest goaltender in the league currently. The Oilers are just praying his play and health are maintained into (and through) the playoffs. 

 

Headlines With The Hacks (News & Injuries) | April 11 – 17, 2022

Our partner, Left Wing Lock, has developed a playoff probabilities tool! See what the odds are that your favourite team will qualify for the post-season! You can see that list here.

April 11
  • NHL 3 Stars of the week are: Auston Matthews, 11 points (7G, 4A) in 4 games; John Carlson, 8 points (3G, 5A) in 3 games; Jonathon Huberdeau, 7 points (3G, 4A) in 3 games

  • Drew Doughty is out for the season after undergoing surgery on his wrist
  • Evgeni Malkin has been suspended 4 games for cross checking Mark Borowiecki
April 12
  • Owen Power played his 1st NHL game with the Buffalo Sabres. They beat the Leaf 5-2 btw.
  • Matty Beniers played his 1st game for the Seattle Kraken. He registered an assist for his 1st NHL point. 
  • There were a number of achievements reached on Tuesday night, here are a few: 
    • Chris Kreider scored 50 goals for the 1st time in his career
    • Johnny Gaudreau reached 100 points for the 1st time in his career
    • Anthony Duclair reached 30 goals for the season, 1st time in his career
    • Patrice Bergeron reached scored 20 goals for the 13th time in his career
    • John Carlson his the 50 assist plateau for the 4th time in his career
    • Connor Garland set a career best in points with 40
    • Quinn Hughes also set a career best in points with 54
    • Rasmus Dahlin, set a career best in points with 45
  • Carter Hart and Cam Atkinson left Tuesday night’s game with lower body injuries. UPDATE: news out of Philly is that Carter Hart could be out for the rest of the season.
  • Our friend Mike from Left Wing Lock also suffered an apparent lower body injury while watching the Flyers game on Tuesday. Mike, we hope you are okay.

  • Freddie Andersen tried his hand a playing forward for the Hurricanes during a delayed penalty on Tuesday.

  • Ryan Hartman was fined $4250 for flipping the bird to Evander Kane. 

  • The Vegas Golden Knights worked some salary cap voodoo magic and activated Mark Stone from LTIR
April 13 – 14
  • Vladimir Tarasenko reached the 30 goal mark for the 6th time in his career
  • Auston Matthews reaches the 100 point mark for the first time in his career.

April 15
  • Carey Price returned to action with the Montreal Canadiens after missing most of the season with a knee injury
  • Bo Horvat will miss al least the next 2 weeks due to a lower body injury
  • Sergei Bobrovsky set a Panthers franchise record in wind for a season with 36
  • Mike Bossy passed away at the age of 65. Good read from the Player’s Tribune ➡️ Read Here

  • Penguins announce Tristan Jarry is week to week with a lower body injury (Broken bone in his foot)
  • Golden Knights announce Robin Lehner has returned to Las Vegas for personal reasons. 
  • Miro Heiskanen reached the 30 assist mark for the first time in his career.
April 16
  • Ryan Hartman joins the 30 goals in a season club on Saturday
  • Mike Smith now with back to back shutouts vs the Predators and now the Golden Knights. Not a bad wire pickup if you managed to grab him.

  • Robert Thomas update: 12 game point streak. 24 Points (6G,18A) 62% rostered. 

  • Freddie Andersen needed help off the ice in Saturday’s game after making a save vs the Avalanche. 
  • Michael Bunting hit the 60 point mark Saturday night. Sorry leafs fans, he is still not winning the Calder. 
  • A few firsts happened on Saturday
    • Matty Beniers scores his 1st career goal with the Seattle Kraken
    • Jack McBain picked up his 1st NHL point in a game vs Calgary
    • Ben Meyers scored his 1st goal in his NHL career in his 1st game with the Avalanche

Ask The Hacks

  • Would you drop Oettinger for Varlamov this week? DAL plays TB. I have Markstrom, Hellebuyck & Oettinger. NYI have a B2B.
  • 14 team, 22 man rosters Keeper league. Choose 5 of the following players to protect. Each player is protected in the slot they were initially drafted in 3 years ago. G,A,PIMs, +\-, PPP, SOG, Hits, BLKs, W, GAA, SV%, SO. Cheers!
    • Marner (1st round)
    • Hedman (2nd)
    • Eichel (3rd)
    • Zibanejad (7th)
    • Mccavoy (8th)
    • Hintz (11th)
    • Markstrom (12th)
  • Will the Florida Panthers (or other contenders) start sitting their top players?
  • Who do you think will be the most under-rated player in next season’s fantasy hockey drafts?

Edge Work | NHL Schedule, Week 27

Need To Know: 

Week 27 in the NHL features a total of 58 games on the schedule, with typical “light days” (50% or fewer NHL teams in action) falling on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. We get a rare Sunday, packed with 11 games; so plan your week accordingly. The majority of the league (21 teams) will play 4 games this week, with 10 teams playing 3 games, and the Buffalo Sabres as the lone team to play just twice. If you’re looking to add players that will help optimize your number of games played (i.e. play on light days), the Arizona Coyotes, Colorado Avalanche, Seattle Kraken, and Washington Capitals are your best bets with 3 games being played on “light days”.  

  • Monday – 6 Games
  • Tuesday – 10 Games
  • Wednesday – 4 Games
  • Thursday – 11 Games
  • Friday – 4 Games
  • Saturday – 12 Games
  • Sunday – 11 Games
Teams With 4 Games: ARI, BOS, CAR, CGY, CHI, COL, DAL, DET, FLA, MIN, MTL, NJD, NYI, OTT, SEA, SJS, STL, TB, TOR, VAN, WSH
Team Of Interest | Colorado Avalanche (Strength of Schedule: -11) 
  • The Colorado Avalanche are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games played (.850 P%), placing them second in the league in points percentage over that stretch. Only Florida has a higher points percentage at .909. Also during that time frame, the Avs are 3rd in shots per game (37.8), 4th on the power play (32.1%), and 7th in goals for per game (3.90). Colorado has an ideal schedule for next week, as they play 4 games, all of which take place on “light days”, and against opponents that they have dominated this season. The only loss so far against upcoming opponents was to Washington on October 19th (6-3 L). Record This Season Against Upcoming Opponents: 7-1-0| Players To Consider: Andre Burakovsky (66%), Valeri Nichushkin (36%), Nicolas Aube-Kubel (0%), Alex Newhook (3%), Bowen Byram (23%), Sam Girard (40%), Pavel Francouz (39%).

ALSO: Minnesota (7-1-2 last 10 GP | @MTL, Vs.VAN, Vs.SEA, @NSH) and St.Louis (9-0-1 and a 7-game win streak last 10 GP | Vs.BOS, @SJS, @ARI, @ANA) are two other teams of interest for next week with a strength of schedule of -19 and -16 respectively

Teams With 3 Games: ANA, CBJ, EDM, LAK, NSH, NYR, PHI, PIT, VGK, WPG
Team Of Interest | Vegas Golden Knights (Strength of Schedule: -2) 
  • At the time of writing, the Vegas Golden Knights are 2 points behind the Dallas Stars for the final Wild Card spot, and 1 point behind the LA Kings for 3rd in the Pacific Division. According to Left Wing Lock, Vegas has a 49.5% chance of qualifying for the post-season (the Kings have dropped to 59%). 7-1-1 in their last 9 games, Vegas is 4th in points percentage (.833), 4th in goals for per game (4.33 GF/GM), 8th in shots on goal per game (34.8 SOG/GM), and 8th in unblocked shot attempts percentage (53.2 USAT%) during that stretch. In terms of the schedule, the Golden Knights play 3 games, all on “light days”, and they have yet to lose to one of their upcoming opponents this season. Vegas has matchups against New Jersey (3-6-1 last 10 GP), Washington (6-4-0 last 10 GP), and San Jose (1-6-3 last 10 GP); all at home, where they have a 21-14-3 record. Record This Season Against Upcoming Opponents: 4-0-0| Players To Consider: Evgeni Dadonov (16%), Nicholas Roy (5%), William Karlsson (20%), Chandler Stephenson (49%), Logan Thompson (13%).
Teams With 2 Games: BUF
Team Of Interest | Buffalo Sabres (Strength of Schedule: -19) 

The Buffalo Sabres are the only team next week that has just two games on the schedule. 4-4-2 in their last 10 games, Buffalo has managed to exceed low expectations to some degree this season; but are best avoided for what will be the final week of the season for many fantasy managers. That being said, the Sabres top line of Skinner, Tuch, and Thompson has managed to stay fantasy relevant regardless of opponent or schedule, and they may be worth streaming for two games later in the week (if available). Note, over their last 10 games played, the Sabres are 1st on the power play (38.5%) and 14th in goals for per game (3.40 GF/GP)Record This Season Against Upcoming Opponents: 1-3-0| Players To Consider: Jeff Skinner (31%), Alex Tuch (22%), Tage Thompson (63%), Dylan Cozens (4%), Casey Mittelstadt (3%), Victor Olofsson (16%), Owen Power (14%), Craig Anderson (12%).

Edge Work | NHL Week 27 Waiver Wire Targets

Waiver wire targets will be focused on players with ownership ~50% or less. SOS = Strength of Schedule, according to Left Wing Lock. Lower number = Easier Schedule, Higher Number = Harder Schedule.

Top Waiver Wire Targets

📈 Ryan Johansen (C), NSH | Rostered: 43% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (Vs.CGY, @TB, Vs.MIN, +22 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Forsberg & Tomasino, PP1) 
  • Ryan Johansen is having the best offensive (goal scoring in particular) season we have seen from him since 2014-2015! On-pace for 67 points, and could set a new career-high in power play points (27). Johansen has never been a volume shooter, and his goal-scoring totals are certainly buoyed by his high individual shooting percentage (iSH%) of 21.3% (career average is 11.6%). The Preds center has posted 8 points and 6 goals in his last 8 GP! Nashville does have a tough schedule over the next two weeks…
📈 Yegor Sharangovich (C/LW/RW), NJD | Rostered: 10% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (@VGK, Vs.BUF, Vs.CAR, Vs.DET, -6 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Hiscier & Zetterlund, PP2) 
  • Yegor Sharangovich is riding shotgun with Nico Hischier on the Devils top line, and has received some hefty time on ice recently (20:11 last 3 games). The 23-year old has set career-highs in goals (22) and points (43) this season, playing at a 52-point pace. Sharangovich has provided consistent offence lately, posting 15 points and 9 goals in his last 20 contests. Also: Nico Hischier (34%) – The Devils captain has posted a career-high 57 points and 20 goals this season. With Jack Hughes out for the remainder of the season, Hischier is seeing some prime deployment at 5v5 and on the power play. 20 points (4 goals) in his last 14 games played!
📈 Connor Garland (LW), VAN | Rostered: 30% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (Vs.DAL, Vs.OTT, @MIN, @CGY, +5 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Horvat & Pettersson, PP1) 
  • Since March 20th, Connor Garland has posted 11 points (2 goals) in 12 games, playing alongside Elias Petterson and Bo Horvat (prior to injury). At this time of the year it’s important to optimize games played, and the Canucks offer volume for the upcoming week. Garland has room for positive regression to the end of the season, shooting 8.7% this season (3-year average is 10.5%); and his team’s even-strength shooting percentage (tEVSH%) is sitting at just 8.9%. It’s been a disappointing first season for Garland in Vancouver, but he is still on-pace for 50 points and just shy of 20 goals (18). 
📈 Tim Stutzle (C/LW), OTT | Rostered: 41% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (@SEA, @VAN, @CBJ, Vs.MTL, -18 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Batherson & Formenton, PP1) 
  • Since February 15th, Tim Stutzle has produced 29 points (12 goals) in 28 games played; ranking him 41st league-wide in terms of total point production during that span. Playing 4 games against non-playoff teams next week should make Stutzle a very valuable add for what should be the semi-final or final for most leagues. Note: Stutzle’s team even-strength shooting percentage is just 7.5% to date this season, below league average. For those in bangers leagues, Stutzle offers added category coverage at 1.64 hits/game. 
📈 Matt Boldy (LW/RW), MIN | Rostered: 20% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (@MTL, Vs.VAN, Vs.SEA, @NSH, -19 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Gaudreau & Fiala, PP1) 
  • Matt Boldy is having an impressive rookie campaign, posting 34 points and 14 goals through 40 games played to date this season (70-point pace over 82 games). Boldly is producing at the right time as well, currently on a 7-game point streak with 9 points and 2 goals. Minnesota has a great schedule next week, taking on 3 teams that are currently out of the playoffs and that the Wild have had some success against this season (4-4-0 this season). 
📈 Victor Olofsson (LW/RW), BUF | Rostered: 20% (Yahoo) | GP: 2 (@NJD, Vs.NYI, -19 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Skinner & Thompson, PP2) 
  • Victor Olofsson and the Buffalo Sabres play just twice next week, so take this recommendation with a grain of salt. It may be worth adding Olofsson later in the week though as Buffalo takes on the Devils and Islanders. In his last 20 games played, Olofsson has posted 18 points and 11 goals; including 2 goals against the Philadelphia Flyers on Sunday to reach the 20-goal plateau for the second time in three seasons!  
📈 Noah Hanifin (D), COL | Rostered: 50% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (@CHI, @NSH, Vs.DAL, Vs.VAN, -11 SOS) | Pair: 1 (w/ Andersson) 
  • A top pairing defenceman, playing for a Calgary Flames team that is 7th in goals for per game (4.25 GF/GP) during the month of April should be rostered in more than 47% of leagues. Over his last 12 games, Hanifin has posted 14 points, 2 goals, and 31 SOG (2.58 SOG/GM) while averaging over 22 minutes of ice-time, and 2:05 on the power play. With 4 games on the schedule for next week, and consistent exposure to one of the best lines in hockey, Hanifin is a must-add if available in your league. 
📈 Mark Giordano (D), TOR | Rostered: 60% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (Vs.PHI, @TB, @FLA, @WSH, +9 SOS) | Line: 1 (w/ Liljegren, PP2) 
  • The former Flames captain has produced less offence this season overall, but he has been collecting more penalty minutes and throwing more hits than we’ve seen from him over the past three years. On-pace for just 37 points, which would be his lowest point total since 2012-2013; however, the 38-year old veteran is heating up right now, posting 8 points and 2 goals in his last 9 games (including a 3-point performance and OT winner against Ottawa on Saturday). Seeing secondary power play time (1:38 PPTOI, 31.7% PP Share), and has good possession metrics (55.9 USAT%) with the Leafs. 
📈 Antti Raanta (G), CAR | Rostered: 22% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (@ARI, Vs.WPG, @NJD, @NYI, -15 SOS) | Role: Backup (32% Net Share)
  • Carolina’s starter, Frederik Andersen, went down with a lower-body injury on Saturday night against the Colorado Avalanche. Reports on Sunday said that he would undergo an MRI to assess the injury and determine a timeline to return. With just 6 games remaining on the schedule, you have to think that the Hurricanes are particularly cautious with their star net minder. Enter Antti Raanta, who has posted a 12-5-4 record this season with 2 shutouts, a 2.44 GAA, .913 SV%, and 1.29 GSAA. The Hurricanes have 4 games this week, a favourable schedule, and just 1 back-to-back. Raanta could really help this week, assuming Andersen sits all 4 games. 
📈 Scott Wedgewood (G), DAL | Rostered: 9% (Yahoo) | GP: 4 (@VAN, @EDM, @CGY, Vs.SEA, -2 SOS) | Role: Backup (% Net Share)
  • Since coming over the Arizona Coyotes, Wedgewood has posted a 3-0-2 record with a 2.74 GAA, .917 SV%, and .952 GSAA. Somewhat surprisingly, Wedgewood has started 3 of the last 5 games for the Stars. If Oettinger has a bad outing on Saturday versus San Jose, I would fully expect to see more starts for Wedgewood next week. With 4 games next week, including a back-to-back against Edmonton and Calgary, Wedgewood will see a minimum of 1 start, possibly 3. Monitor the situation closely. 
📈 Logan Thompson (G), VGK | Rostered: 16% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (Vs.NJD, Vs.WSH, Vs.SJS, -3 SOS) | Role: Backup (% Net Share)
  • Like the rest of the Vegas Golden Knights, Logan Thompson has been impressive lately. Over his last 5 starts he has posted a  5-0-0 record with a 1.59 GAA, .949 SV%, and 5.88 GSAA. Robin Lehner headed back to Vegas on Friday for personal matters, and it has not yet been reported when he will join the team again. The Golden Knights play 3 games this upcoming week, all on “light days” with no back-to-backs; so if Lehner remains out, Thompson could be a very valuable addition in semi-final and final matchups. 
📈 Casey DeSmith (G), PIT | Rostered: 16% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (Vs.BOS, @DET, @PHI, -13 SOS) | Role: Tandem (% Net Share)
  • It was reported on Saturday morning that Tristan Jarry would be week-to-week with a broken foot; essentially making Casey DeSmith the starter in Pittsburgh for the remaining 5 games of the season and potentially to start the playoffs. Despite a losing effort for DeSmith and the Penguins on Saturday, DeSmith stopped 27 shots enroute to a 2.07 GAA and .931 SV%. In his last 6 appearances: 2-1-2 record, 2.64 GAA, .917 SV%, and .685 GSAA.   
📈 Mike Smith (G), EDM | Rostered: 50% (Yahoo) | GP: 3 (Vs.DAL, Vs.COL, @CBJ, +14 SOS) | Role: Tandem (32% Net Share)
  • In the month of April, Mike Smith has started 6 of 8 games for the Oilers; posting a 6-0-0 record with a 1.49 GAA, .955 SV%, 8.89 GSAA, and 2 shutouts! Smith made 69 saves in his last 2 games, posting back-to-back shutouts! Edmonton is 8-1-1 in their last 10 contests, and during that stretch are 9th in goals for per game (3.73 GF/GP), 4th on the PP (29.6%), and 6th in shots on goal per game (35.6 SOG/GM). Tough schedule coming up, but as an added bonus, all 3 games played are on “light days”.

—–

Additional names to consider heading into fantasy hockey playoffs: Robert Thomas, Oliver Bjorkstrand, Nick Schmaltz, Dylan Strome, Brock Nelson, Andrew Copp, Jesper Bratt, Rickard Rakell, Seth Jarvis, Valeri Nichushkin, Andre Burakovsky, Michael Bunting, Tyler Toffoli, Cole Caufield, Jakub Voracek, Rickard Rakell, Anthony Cirelli, Anthony Mantha, Trevor Zegras, Jack Roslovic, Tage Thompson, Ivan Barbashev, Alex Tuch, Jake DeBrusk, Yegor Sharangovich, Damon Severson, Gustav Forsling, Noah Dobson, Nate Schmidt, Rasmus Andersson, Ryan Pulock, Jonathan Quick, Cal Petersen, Anton Forsberg, Spencer Knight.


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