Fantasy Preview – Metropolitan Division Part 2 (CAR, CBJ, NJD, NYI) | Feat. TJ Branson (Five Hole Fantasy Hockey Podcast)
Episode 80 of the Fantasy Hockey Hacks Podcast! Fantasy hockey previews conclude as the Hacks dive into part 2 of the Metropolitan Division (Carolina, Columbus, New Jersey, and New York Islanders) with special guest TJ Branson from the Five Hole Fantasy Podcast! As we do each week, we’ll also check in on John’s list and “hack” our way through this week’s Headlines.
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Highlights:
- Enter to win a Hacks Holiday in Vegas!
- What can we expect from Brent Burns this season?
- Will Freddie Andersen have another spectacular season?
- Upside for Johnny Gaudreau and Patrik Laine this season
- Is the Jack Hughes hype real?
- Bounce-back season for Dougie Hamilton?
- What can we expect from Mathew Barzal?
- Is Ilya Sorokin worth a 3rd round pick?
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John’s List
If you have been listening to our podcast for a while, you’ve undoubtedly heard about “John’s List”; which is basically John’s $h!t list of players past and present. If you have any suggestions for players/subjects we should add to the list, let us know!
Blake Wheeler – Dude is trash…stripped of captaincy. What is going on in that locker room?
Headlines W/ The Hacks | September 12 – 19, 2022
The 2021-2022 regular season has wrapped, but if you’re planning to defend your fantasy hockey championship next season be sure to get your draft kit from our partner, Left Wing Lock – Available NOW! We’re giving away a few of these draft kits, starting this week – so be sure to follow us on Twitter (@FHHacks) or Instagram (@FantasyHockeyHacks) to win!
News This Week
- The St Louis Blues have signed Center Jordan Kryou to an 8 year $65 million dollar extension (8.125 AAV) Kryou had a career season last year scoring 27 goals and putting up 84 points in 75 games.
Jordan Kyrou has signed an 8-year extension with the Blues.
He’ll be stealing souls in St. Louis for a long time 😎 pic.twitter.com/0uXr9tETGr
— B/R Open Ice (@BR_OpenIce) September 13, 2022
- The Dallas Stars have signed GM Jim Nill to a one year contract extension. Nill now needs to get RFA Jason Robertson signed before the season starts which could be tall order based on current extensions being signed by other teams and Dallas’s cap space.
- Blake Wheeler has been removed as captain of the Winnipeg Jets. They will play the 22-23 season without a captain.
“If you think that because of this i’m going to fade into the back and not be a leader on this team, you’re sorely mistaken.”
Blake Wheeler speaks on the Jets leadership group restructuring. pic.twitter.com/6Opmp5Wjul
— TSN (@TSN_Sports) September 16, 2022
- Evander Kane and the San Jose Sharks have reached a settlement on their dispute. Reports are Kane will receive a one time payment and the Sharks will have a salary cap charge.
- Sean Couturier of the Philadelphia Flyers has sustained an upper body injury while training just days after being medically cleared from his last back injury. He is considered week to week and will be evaluated at training camp. Reports are he herniated disks in his back. They are hoping it will heal in 6-8 weeks. If surgery is required he could be out for the season.
I’ve been told that @NHLFlyers center Sean Couturier has a herniated disc in his back that could cost him several months, if not the whole season. I have a story coming very shortly. @NHL.
— Anthony SanFilippo (@AntSanPhilly) September 19, 2022
- The Dallas Stars acquired defensemen Nils Lundkvist from the New York Rangers for a 2023 1st round pick (top 10 protected) and 2025 4th round pick. Becomes a 3rd round pick if he earns 55 points in the next 2 seasons combined.
2022 Metropolitan Division (Pt. 2) Fantasy Hockey Preview
Carolina Hurricanes
54-20-8 (1st in Atlantic) | GF/GM: 3.39 (9th) | GA/GM: 2.44 (1st) | GF%: 58.07 (3rd) | CF%: 55.77 (1st) | PP%: 22% (13th) | PK%: 88.0 (1st)
Schedule Notes: The Carolina Hurricanes have 14 back-to-back sets this season, tied for 3rd most with 7 other NHL clubs. 35% of their games are played on “light days” (fewer than 50% of teams in action).
Key Additions: Brent Burns (Trade W/ SJS), Max Pacioretty (Trade W/ VGK; Pacioretty OUT with Achilles), Ondrej Kase (UFA – TOR), Paul Stastny (UFA – WPG)
Key Departures: Ian Cole (UFA – TB), Max Domi (UFA – CHI), Nino Niederreiter (Trade W/ NSH), Tony DeAngelo (UFA – PHI), Vincent Trocheck (UFA – NYR)
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Top Fantasy Targets
🎯 Sebastian Aho, C | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 30.4 | PTS. PREDICTION: 40 Goals, 85 Points
- Last Season: 81 Pts, 37 G in 79 GP (84-point Pace)
- 28 PPP, 38 PIMs career-highs
- 18:57 ATOI lowest since 2017-218
- 3-Yr Avg: 82 Pts, 40 G
🎯 Andrei Svechnikov, LW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 37.9 | PTS. PREDICTION: 32 Goals, 82 Points
- Last Season: 69 Pts, 30 G in 78 GP (73-point Pace)
- 69 points, 79 PIMs, 249 SOG, 189 Hits, 22 PPP career-highs
- 0.40 A2/60 lowest of the past 3 seasons
- Will be leaned on more heavily with Pacioretty out.
- 3-Yr Avg: 70 Pts, 28 G
🎯 Max Pacioretty, LW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 55.3 | PTS. PREDICTION: 15 Goals, 25 Points
- Last Season: 37 Pts, 19 G in 39 GP (78-point Pace)
- On-pace for 40 goals before injury last season.
- Achilles injury will keep Pacioretty out until early 2023.
- 3-Yr Avg: 80 Pts, 39 G
🎯 Teuvo Teravainen, LW/RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 84.0 | PTS. PREDICTION: 23 Goals, 70 Points
- Last Season: 65 Pts, 22 G in 77 GP (69-point Pace)
- 202 SOG, 31 PPP career-highs
- 8.5 tEVSH% lowest since 2016-2017
- 3-Yr Avg: 71 Pts, 21 G
🎯 Seth Jarvis, LW/RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 169.3 | PTS. PREDICTION: 21 Goals, 55 Points
- Last Season: 40 Pts, 17 G in 68 GP (48-point Pace)
- 15.5 iSH% sustainable?
- 9.9 tEVSH%
- 3-Yr Avg: 49 Pts, 21 G
🎯 Ondrej Kase, RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: N/A | PTS. PREDICTION: 14 Goals, 40 Points
- Last Season: 27 Pts, 14 G in 50 GP (44-point Pace)
- 6.8 tEVSH% lowest since 2016-2017
- Does he see top 6 minutes with Pacioretty on the shelf?
- 3-Yr Avg: 39 Pts, 16 G
🎯 Brent Burns, D | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 99.0 | PTS. PREDICTION: 15 Goals, 68 Points
- Last Season: 54 Pts, 10 G in 82 GP (54-point Pace)
- 54 Pts (0.66 Pts/GM) best production since 2018-2019.
- 150 BLKs career-high
- 4.9 iSH% lowest since 2017-2018 (3.6%). Career avg (6.7%), 3-yr avg (5.1%)
- 3rd among all skaters in ATOI (26:09)
- < 50% OZ Start% the past two seasons.
- Expect PP Share to increase. 60.2% PP Share last season.
- 3-Yr Avg: 50 Pts, 11 G
🎯 Jaccob Slavin, D | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 160.1 | PTS. PREDICTION: 7 Goals, 42 Points
- Last Season: 42 Pts, 4 G in 79 GP (44-point Pace)
- 2.4 iSH% career-low (same as rookie season); but 2.1 SOG/GM career-high
- 42 Pts, +36, 7 PPP, 23:32 TOI career-highs
- 24 of 38 assists were secondary. 0.69 A2/60 a career-high and 50% above career average.
- 3-Yr Avg: 38 Pts, 5 G
🎯 Frederick Andersen, G | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 53.0 | PREDICTION: 55 Starts (67% Net Share), 36 Wins
- Last Season: 35-14-3, 2.17 GAA, .922 SV%, 25.9 GSAx
- 9th in GAA and 11th in SV% last season
- 3rd league-wide in GSAx (27.8 – MoneyPuck)
- 3-Yr Avg: 36-16-6, 2.59 GAA, .912 SV%
Columbus Blue Jackets
37-38-7 (6th in Atlantic) | GF/GM: 3.15 (14th) | GA/GM: 3.62 (28th) | GF%: 46.49 (21st) | CF%: 48.09 (21st) | PP%: 18.6 (24th) | PK%: 78.6 (20th)
Schedule Notes: The Columbus Blue Jackets have 16 back-to-back sets this season, tied with the New York Rangers for most among all NHL clubs. 34% of their games are played on “light days” (fewer than 50% of teams in action).
Key Additions: Johnny Gaudreau (UFA – CGY), Erik Gudbranson (UFA – CGY)
Key Departures: Oliver Bjorkstrand (Trade W/ SEA)
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Top Fantasy Targets
🎯 Johnny Gaudreau, LW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 20.2 | PTS. PREDICTION: 36 Goals, 88 Points
- Last Season: 115 Pts, 40 G in 82 GP (115-point Pace)
- 115 Pts (1.40 Pts/GM), +64, 264 SOG (3.2 SOG/GM), career-highs
- 13.3 tEVSH% career-high. 3-yr avg (9.12%)
- 15.3 iSH% above 3-yr (13.2%) and career avg (12.9%)
- 3-Yr Avg: 87 Pts, 30 G
🎯 Patrik Laine, LW/RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 82.0 | PTS. PREDICTION: 42 Goals, 77 Points
- Last Season: 56 Pts, 26 G in 56 GP (82-point Pace)
- 1.00 Pts/GM, 72.6% PP Share career-highs
- 15.6 iSH% above 3-yr (13.9%) and career avg (15.1%)
- 51% OZ Start% career-low
- 74.7 IPP career-high
- 3-Yr Avg: 69 Pts, 32 G
🎯 Boone Jenner, C | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 166.2 | PTS. PREDICTION: 25 Goals, 60 Points
- Last Season: 44 Pts, 23 G in 59 GP (61-point, 32-goal Pace)
- 0.75 Pts/GM, 2.7 SOG/GM, 14.4 iSH% career-highs
- 68% PP Share, 20:28 ATOI smashed previous career-highs.
- 9.6 tEVSH% career-high. 6.6 tEVSH% previous 3-yr avg.
- 3-Yr Avg: 41 Pts, 20 G
🎯 Jakub Voracek, LW/RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 164.2 | PTS. PREDICTION: 15 Goals, 68 Points
- Last Season: 62 Pts, 6 G in 79 GP (64-point Pace)
- 4.1 iSH% career-low
- 69.6% PP Share career-high
- Just 28% (16 of 56) of assists were secondary. 0.17 A2/60 lowest in 5 seasons, down 65% from 5-yr avg (0.49)
- 3-Yr Avg: 66 Pts, 11 G
🎯 Jack Roslovic, C | 2022 Yahoo ADP: N/A | PTS. PREDICTION: 20 Goals, 45 Points
- Last Season: 45 Pts, 22 G in 81 GP (46-point Pace)
- 16.8 iSH% career-high, up from 3-yr avg (13.8%)
- 9.7 tEVSH% highest since 2017-2018
- 66% OZ Start % the past two seasons.
- 32.8% PP Share down from the previous season (54%)
- 3-Yr Avg: 44 Pts, 19 G
🎯 Cole Sillinger, C | 2022 Yahoo ADP: N/A | PTS. PREDICTION: 20 Goals, 45 Points
- Last Season: 31 Pts, 16 G in 79 GP (32-point Pace)
- 98 Hits (1.24 Hits/GM)
- 3-Yr Avg: 33 Pts, 17 G
🎯 Zach Werenski, D | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 98.5 | PTS. PREDICTION: 21 Goals, 65 Points
- Last Season: 48 Pts, 11 G in 68 GP (58-point Pace)
- 48 points a career-high
- Tied for 6th in TOI with Cale Makar at 25:40.
- 3-Yr Avg: 54 Pts, 19 G
🎯 Adam Boqvist, D | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 172.9 | PTS. PREDICTION: 9 Goals, 38 Points
- Last Season: 22 Pts, 11 G in 52 GP (35-point Pace)
- 11 G in 52 GP, a 17-goal pace. However, 17.2 iSH% above 3-yr and career avg (11.1). Not sustainable.
- 3-Yr Avg: 33 Pts, 11 G
🎯 Elvis Merzlikins, G | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 154.4 | PREDICTION: 60 Starts (73% Net Share), 30 Wins
- Last Season: 27-23-7, 3.22 GAA, .907 SV%, -13.06 GSAx
- 3-Yr Avg: 24-22-10, 2.88 GAA, .913 SV%
New Jersey Devils
27-46-9 (7th in Atlantic) | GF/GM: 2.99 (19th) | GA/GM: 3.68 (29th) | GF%: 44.79 (24th) | CF%: 50.96 (11th) | PP%: 15.6 (28th) | PK%: 80.2 (14th)
Schedule Notes: The New Jersey Devils have 12 back-to-back sets this season, tied for 5th fewest with Arizona, Florida, Minnesota, Nashville, and Ottawa. 32% of their games are played on “light days” (fewer than 50% of teams in action).
Key Additions: Erika Haula (Trade W/ Bos), Ondrej Palat (UFA – TB), Vitek Vanecek (Trade W/ WSH)
Key Departures: Pavel Zacha (Trade W/ BOS), Ty Smith (Trade W/ PIT)
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Top Fantasy Targets
🎯 Jack Hughes, C | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 96.2 | PTS. PREDICTION: 38 Goals, 86 Points
- Last Season: 56 Pts, 26 G in 49 GP (94-point Pace)
- 1.14 Pts/GM, 19:34 TOI career-highs
- 15.8 iSH%, 3.4 SOG/GM career-highs, 10.2 iSH% career avg.
- 9.7 tEVSH% career-high
- 77.8 IPP career-high
- 3-Yr Avg: 54 Pts, 22 G
🎯 Jesper Bratt, RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 124.4 | PTS. PREDICTION: 27 Goals, 74 Points
- Last Season: 73 Pts, 26 G in 76 GP (79-point Pace)
- 73 Pts, 18 PPP, 2.6 SOG/GM, 59% PP Share, 17:26 TOI career-highs
- 3-Yr Avg: 61 Pts, 22 G
🎯 Ondrej Palat, LW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 172.7 | PTS. PREDICTION: 21 Goals, 55 Points
- Last Season: 49 Pts, 18 G in 77 GP (52-point Pace)
- 123 Hits (1.6 Hits/GM)
- Consistently around 13 iSH% and 1.9 SOG/GM
- 3-Yr Avg: 55 Pts, 20 G
🎯 Nico Hischier, C | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 163.9 | PTS. PREDICTION: 25 Goals, 67 Points
- Last Season: 60 Pts, 21 G in 70 GP (70-point Pace)
- 60 Pts (0.86 Pts/GM), 12 PPP, 19:21 TOI career-highs
- 13.7 iSH% career-high; 11.8% career
- 9 tEVSH% highest since rookie season
- 72.3 IPP career-high
- 3-Yr Avg: 59 Pts, 23 G
🎯 Yegor Sharangovich, C/LW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: N/A | PTS. PREDICTION: 26 Goals, 50 Points
- Last Season: 46 Pts, 24 G in 76 GP (50-point Pace)
- 10 tEVSH% career-high
- 14.2 iSH% career avg.
- 3-Yr Avg: 48 Pts, 25 G
🎯 Dawson Mercer, C/RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 183.4 | PTS. PREDICTION: 20 Goals, 48 Points
- Last Season: 42 Pts, 17 G in 82 GP (42-point Pace)
- 3-Yr Avg: 42 Pts, 17 G
🎯 Dougie Hamilton, D | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 103.9 | PTS. PREDICTION: 17 Goals, 62 Points
- Last Season: 30 Pts, 9 G in 62 GP (40-point Pace)
- 4.6 iSH% career-low; 3.2 SOG/GM lowest since 2018-2019
- 52.7% PP Share and 21:13 ATOI both lowest since 2018-2019.
- 9.7 tEVSH% career-high
- 37.5 IPP career-low
- 3-Yr Avg: 55 Pts, 16 G
🎯 Damon Severson, D | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 161.0 | PTS. PREDICTION: 10 Goals, 45 Points
- Last Season: 46 Pts, 11 G in 80 GP (47-point Pace)
- 46 Points, 11 G, 2.0 SOG/GM, 16 PPP, 50.8% PP Share, 23:35 TOI all career-highs
- 3-Yr Avg: 39 Pts, 9 G
🎯 Vitek Vanecek, G | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 170.1 | PREDICTION: 50 Starts (60% Net Share), 23 Wins
- Last Season: 20-12-6, 2.67 GAA, .908 SV%, -3.87 GSAx
- 3-Yr Avg: 31-17-8, 2.68 GAA, .908 SV%
🎯 Mackenzie Blackwood, G | 2022 Yahoo ADP: N/A | PREDICTION: 32 Starts (40% Net Share), 15 Wins
- Last Season: 9-10-4, 3.39 GAA, .892 SV%, -17.35 GSAx
- 3-Yr Avg: 25-23-9, 3.01 GAA, .905 SV%
New York Islanders
37-35-10 (5th in Atlantic) | GF/GM: 2.79 (23rd) | GA/GM: 2.82 (7th) | GF%: 49.78 (18th) | CF%: 46.56 (28th) | PP%: 22.1 (12th) | PK%: 84.2 (4th)
Schedule Notes: The New York Islanders have 15 back-to-back sets this season, tied for 2nd most with Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. 38% of their games are played on “light days” (fewer than 50% of teams in action).
Key Additions: Alexandre Romanov (Trade W/ MTL)
Key Departures: Auston Czarnik (UFA – DET)
–
Top Fantasy Targets
🎯 Matt Barzal, C | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 158.6 | PTS. PREDICTION: 25 Goals, 70 Points
- Last Season: 59 Pts, 15 G in 73 GP (66-point Pace)
- 9.3 iSH% career-low
- 8.1 tEVSH%
- 3-Yr Avg: 68 Pts, 21 G
🎯 Brock Nelson, C | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 167.0 | PTS. PREDICTION: 30 Goals, 67 Points
- Last Season: 59 Pts, 37 G in 72 GP (67-point Pace)
- 24 goals in 46 games played during the second half of the season – a 43-goal pace.
- 21.6 iSH% well above 3-yr (17.3%) and career averages (14.2%).
- 53.3% PP Share career-high
- 3-Yr Avg: 61 Pts, 34 G
🎯 Anders Lee, LW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 166.8 | PTS. PREDICTION: 27 Goals, 54 Points
- Last Season: 46 Pts, 26 G in 78 GP (50-point Pace)
- 17.6 iSH% highest since 2018-2018
- 16:38 TOI lowest 2016-2017
- tEVSH% above 10% the past 2 seasons.
- 3-Yr Avg: 52 Pts, 29 G
🎯 Oliver Wahlstrom, RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: N/A | PTS. PREDICTION: 18 Goals, 45 Points
- Last Season: 24 Pts, 13 G in 73 GP (27-point Pace)
- 101 Hits (1.38 Hits/GM), 74 PIMS career-highs
- 7.3 tEVSH%
- 3-Yr Avg: 29 Pts, 16 G
🎯 Anthony Beauvillier, LW/RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: N/A | PTS. PREDICTION: 24 Goals, 50 Points
- Last Season: 34 Pts, 12 G in 75 GP (37-point Pace)
- 7.8 iSH% career-low
- 3-Yr Avg: 43 Pts, 19 G
🎯 Josh Bailey, LW/RW | 2022 Yahoo ADP: N/A | PTS. PREDICTION: 15 Goals, 49 Points
- Last Season: 44 Pts, 14 G in 74 GP (49-point Pace)
- 16.1 iSH% Career-high
- 1.2 SOG/GM career-low
- 3-Yr Avg: 51 Pts, 15 G
🎯 Noah Dobson, D | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 95.3 | PTS. PREDICTION: 10 Goals, 55 Points
- Last Season: 51 Pts, 13 G in 80 GP (52-point Pace)
- 36 points in 47 games played during the second half of the season, a 63-point pace.
- 6.8 iSH%, 2.4 SOG/GM, 154 BLKs, 64% PP Share, 21:28 TOI career-highs
- 3-Yr Avg: 37 Pts, 9 G
🎯 Ryan Pulock, D | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 175.1 | PTS. PREDICTION: 8 Goals, 35 Points
- Last Season: 21 Pts, 5 G in 56 GP (31-point Pace)
- 3-Yr Avg: 34 Pts, 8 G
🎯 Ilya Sorokin, G | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 29.5 | PREDICTION: 54 Starts (66% Net Share), 30 Wins
- Last Season: 26-18-8, 2.40 GAA, .925 SV%, 16.99 GSAx
- 3-Yr Avg: 32-19-9, 2.33 GAA, .923 SV%
🎯 Semyon Varlamov, G | 2022 Yahoo ADP: 157.3 | PREDICTION: 28 Starts (34% Net Share), 14 Wins
- Last Season: 10-17-2, 2.91 GAA, .911 SV%, 1.55 GSAx
- 3-Yr Avg: 26-23-11, 2.51 GAA, .918 SV%
Contest Announcement | Hacks Holiday!
Help the Hacks celebrate 100 episodes of fantasy fun! We truly appreciate all the support we’ve received from listeners, partners, and guests, making this first 100 episodes a genuinely enjoyable experience. All of us on the podcast enjoy creating fantasy hockey content, and will do so for as long as people will listen. To show our appreciation, we are sending one listener and a guest on a “Hacks Holiday” to Las Vegas next February! Thank you to our partners – Lucky Bastard Distillers & Left Wing Lock – for their support in making this contest possible. Winner will receive:
- 2 tickets to a Vegas Golden Knights home game against the Tampa Bay Lightning – Saturday, February 18, 2023
- 2 round-trip tickets to Las Vegas
- 3-night accommodations at a hotel near T-Mobile Arena
- 1 year FREE subscription to the Left Wing Lock iPhone app!
Go to the contest page – FantasyHockeyHacks.com/HacksHoliday – and follow the directions to enter the contest.
“HACK THE CODE” Number For Episode 80: 9
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