Stanley Cup Final Preview, Predictions & Offseason Player Movement Feat. Mike McLaughlin (Left Wing Lock)
Join the Hacks and special guest, Mike McLaughlin (Left Wing Lock) for episode 66 of the Fantasy Hockey Hacks Podcast! This week we’re previewing the Stanley Cup Final, providing our predictions, and discussing potential player movement this offseason. Does Alex DeBrincat get moved? Does Duncan Keith retire? What is going on with Mark Scheifele and the Jets? Also, find out who makes John’s List, our Fantasy Lock Of The Week, and a few Headlines from around the League!
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Highlights:
- New York fan makes John’s list
- Stanley Cup Final preview and predictions
- Does Alex DeBrincat get moved?
- A Duncan Keith retirement would be massive for the Oilers
- Ben Bishop traded
- Corey Perry makes history
- Are the Jets fed up with Mark Scheifele? We discuss possible trade destinations.
- Is John Gibson finally on his way out of Anaheim? What about JT Miller?
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Amazon.ca | Best Tech Gifts For Father’s Day! Tons of great options, including the Ultimate Ears Boom 3 Portable Bluetooth Speaker. I received this for Father’s day a couple years ago – very durable, waterproof, and sounds great!
John’s List
If you have been listening to our podcast for a while, you’ve undoubtedly heard about “John’s List”; which is basically John’s $h!t list of players past and present. We’ve decided to make this a regular segment on the podcast and will include it in the blog for fun as well. If you have any suggestions for players we should add to the list, let us know!
James Anastasio – 29-year old from Staten Island who knocked out a Tampa Bay Lightning fan after the Rangers lost game 5. Anastasio was arrested and charged with 2 counts of assault, disorderly conduct, and harassment! Check out the thread below for all the details.
CONFIRMING
Perp James Anastasio, 29 of Staten Island, was ARRESTED and charged with 2 counts of assault, 2 counts of disorderly conduct, and 2 counts of harassment
The victim refused medical attention at the scene, so hopefully that means he is OK!!! https://t.co/QOyhfE2K8R
— Evan Axelbank Fox13 (@EvanAxelbank) June 10, 2022
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Fantasy Lock Of The Week (June 6 – 13, 2022) | Presented by Left Wing Lock
🔥Ondrej Palat, LW | DK Salary: $7000 | FPPG: 13.86 Vs. NYR
- 6 Pts (2 G), 1 GWG, 7 SOG, 17:19 TOI
HONORABLE MENTION: Andrei Vasilevskiy | DK Salary: $$11,000 | FPPG: 21.4 Last 3 GP
LAST 4 GP: 4-0, 106 Saves, 1.25 GAA, .955 SV%, 3.72 GSAx.
Headlines With The Hacks | June 8 – 13, 2022
The 2021-2022 regular season has wrapped, but if you’re planning to defend your fantasy hockey championship next season be sure to get your draft kit from our partner, Left Wing Lock. Stay tuned for details.
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In this segment, the Hacks will discuss the latest during the Stanley Cup Playoffs, and news from around the league.
News This Week
- According to Frank Seravalli, Barry Trotz and John Tortorella are believed to be finalists for the vacant Flyers head coaching job.
- FANTASY SPIN: This could be a very good thing for a young Carter Hart, whose fantasy value took a real hit after last season. Drafted in the 11th round on average (ADP of 127.9), Hart owners were no doubt disappointed by the results – 13-24-7, 1 SO, 3.16 GAA, .905 SV%, -8.75 GSAA, and a -11.08 GSAx.😬
- Frank is also reporting that it is only a matter of time before the Blackhawks trade forward Alex DeBincat. The Blackhawks are also taking calls on Kirby Dach.
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have parted ways with Goalie coach Steve Briere. I am not sure firing the goalie coach will fix their goaltending problems. Will Erik Kallgren and Petr Mrazek be the tandem for next season?
- Ben Bishop and a 7th round pick have been traded from the Dallas Stars to the Buffalo Sabres for future considerations. The Sabres need salary to get to the salary cap floor and this will help. Bishop’s playing career ended last year when he tried to return after a knee injury.
- Corey Perry is the 2nd player in NHL history to reach the Stanley Cup Final in 3 consecutive seasons, with 3 different teams (DAL – 2020, MTL – 2021, TB – 2022). Marian Hossa (PIT – 2008, DET – 2009, CHI – 2010) was the other.
- The Rangers re-signed 2018 1st rounder – Vitali Kravtsov.
- Away goes Mikko! CONFIRMED: Mikko Koskinen has signed a two-year deal with HC Lugano (Swiss League). This opens the door for Stuart Skinner to play full time with the Oilers next season.
- It is being reported today (Monday) that John Gibson of the Ducks is open to be traded and that he has informed the team of this.
- News from the Rangers last media availability of the season.
- Ryan Strome has an injury to his pelvis suffered in the 2nd half of the regular season. In the playoffs the injury got worse. He will find out on Tuesday if it requires surgery.
- Barkley Goodrow was playing with a fractured ankle.
Stanley Cup Playoffs
TB Vs. NYR (TB Wins Series 4-2)
Headlines:
Game 4
- The Bolts were back in fine form, taking game 4 from the Rangers by a final score of 4-1.
- Ondrej Palat had a great game – 1 G, 2 A.
- Stamkos, Kucherov, and Maroon also scored for the Bolts.
- Andrei Vasilevskiy makes 34 saves, .971 SV%, 1.00 GAA, 1.32 GSAx.
Game 5
- Ondrej Palat was the hero again for Tampa Bay – deflecting a puck off his knee from a Sergachev point shot.
- This was Palat’s 11th game-winning goal in the postseason
- Mikhail Sergachev tied the game late in the 2nd period.
- 1 G, 1 A, 3 SOG, 4 iCF, 1 iSCF, 22:46 TOI
- Andrei Vasilevskiy has found his form (see stats from Fantasy Lock).
- The team that wins game 5 when a best of 7 series is tied will win the series 78.5% of the time (223-61). However, the Rangers are 5-0 when facing elimination in these playoffs.
Game 6
- Steven Stamkos came up clutch for the Tampa Bay Lightning, scoring both goals in a 2-1 series-clinching win.
- The Lightning have now won 11 straight playoff series, trailing only the NYI (19), and the Montreal Canadiens (13) for the longest such streak in NHL history.
- Andrei Vasilevskiy continued his impressive streak in series-winning games – In his last 8 series-clinching games: 0.25 GAA, .991 SV%, 6 Shutouts!! The Bolts held the Rangers to just 21 shots on goal, making Vasy’s job a bit easier.
- Frank Vatrano scored the long goal for the New York Rangers, and was their best player the final 3 games of the series with 2 Pts (1 G).😬
- The Rangers were held to just 3 goals in the final 3 games of the series.
- Igor Shesterkin in the ECF: 195 Saves, 2.33 GAA, .933 SV%, 7.45 GSAx.
🔥Hot Streaks
- Steven Stamkos – 3 G, 8 SOG, 18:14 in 3 GP
- Ondrej Palat – 6 Pts (2 G), 7 SOG, 17:19 TOI in 3 GP
- Nikita Kucherov – 3 Pts (1 G), 9 SOG, 19:16 TOI in 3 GP
- Andrei Vasilevskiy – After losing the first two games in the ECF: 4-0, 106 Saves, 1.25 GAA, .955 SV%, 3.72 GSAx.
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🏆Stanley Cup Preview & Predictions – TB Vs. COL
- COL | Reg. Season: 56-19-7, 119 points (playoff stats below).
- ✅4.64 GF/GP (1st)
- 2.86 GA/GP (4th)
- ✅31.1% PP (2nd)
- 75.7% PK (10th)
- Pavel Francouz – 6-0, 2.86 GAA, .906 SV%, -1.3 GSAx
- TB | Reg. Season: 51-23-8, 110 points (playoff stats below).
- 3.08 GF/GP (8th)
- ✅2.41 GA/GP (2nd)
- 22.6% PP (8th)
- ✅82.5% PK (6th)
- ✅Andrei Vasilevskiy – 12-5, 2.27 GAA, .928 SV%, 10.25 GSAx
- Season series: COL 2-0; TBL 0-1-1
- The Colorado Avalanche are the favourites to win the Stanley Cup at -190. I would not hesitate to put some money on the “underdog” Lightning at +160. Who wins the Stanley Cup?
- Devon – TB
- Tyler – TB
- Bruce – TB
- John – TB
- Mike – TB
- Who wins the Conn Smythe trophy?
- Cale Makar | +180
- Nathan MacKinnon | +210
- Nikita Kucherov | +400
- Andrei Vasilevskiy | +400
- Steven Stamkos | +1500
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💡DISCUSSION
- What is Ondrej Palat’s (ADP: 73.6, 6th RD) fantasy value next season?
- Pending UFA this summer, his $5.3M AAV could be a problem for the Bolts.
- 3-year Average of 55 Pts and 20 G.
- Destinations?
- Fantasy Impact? 📉
- Alex DeBrincat, LW/RW (ADP: 31, 3rd RD) last season: 78 Pts (41 G) in 82 GP.
- DeBrincat has a $9M qualifying offer after next season. It sounds like the Chicago Blackhawks are willing to listen to offers for Alex DeBrincat, and possibly Kirby Dach.
- Destinations? EDM
- Fantasy Impact? 📈
- According to Elliott Friedman, the Edmonton Oilers have reportedly asked both Mike Smith and Duncan Keith to inform the team of their decision to return next season, PRIOR TO July 1st;
- As per Puck Pedia: If Duncan Keith retired this summer, his $5.5M cap hit would be removed for the Edmonton Oilers and they would get a $3.4M recapture cap credit (negative cap hit). The Blackhawks would have $7.5M of recapture cap hit, allocated as $5.5M in 22-23 & $2M in 23-24.
- Unless Keith retires, I’m putting Evander Kane’s, LW/RW (ADP: N/A) odds of returning to Edmonton at 5%.
- 56 Pts, 35 G in 58 GP (regular and postseason)
- 82-Game Pace: 79 Pts, 49 G, 295 SOG (3.60/GM), 294 Hits (3.5/GM), and 137 PIMS!!
- Speculation that he’s looking for $7-8M per season.
- Destinations? Team with considerable cap space next season.
- Fantasy Impact? 📉
- Johnny Gaudreau, LW/RW (ADP: 54.5, 5th RD) last season: 115 Pts (40 G) in 82 GP
- Pending UFA, $6.75M AAV (2021-22)
- Destinations? New Jersey, Philadelphia
- Fantasy Impact? 📉
- Nazem Kadri, C (ADP: 133.3, 11th RD) last season: 87 Pts (28 G) in 71 GP
- Pending UFA, $4.5M AAV (2021-22)
- Destinations? Washington, Toronto, Winnipeg
- Fantasy Impact? 📉
- JT Miller, C/LW (ADP: 52.3, 4th RD) last season: 99 Pts (32 G) in 80 GP
- 217 Pts (74 G) in 202 GP
- 1 season remaining at $5.25M AAV
- Destinations? Winnipeg, Toronto, Washington, Seattle, Vegas?
- Fantasy Impact? TBD
- Mark Scheifele, C (ADP: ) last season: 70 Pts (29 G) in 67 GP
- 2 seasons remaining at $6.13M AAV
- Destinations? Boston, San Jose, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia
- Fantasy Impact?📈
- Filip Forsberg, LW (ADP: 123, 10th RD) last season: 84 Pts (42 G) in 69 GP
- Pending UFA, $6M AAV
- Destinations? Nashville
- Fantasy Impact? N/A
- Kevin Fiala, LW/RW (ADP: 135.8, 11th RD) last season: 85 Pts (33 G) in 82 GP
- $5.1M qualifying offer, arbitration eligible. Expected AAV in the $7 – 8 M range.
- Destinations? Not Minnesota, New Jersey
- Fantasy Impact? 📉
- Kris Letang, D (ADP: 78.6, 7th RD) last season: 68 Pts (10 G) in 78 GP
- Pending UFA, $7.25M AAV (2021-22)
- Destinations?
- Fantasy Impact?
- John Klingberg, D (ADP: ) last season: 47 Pts (6 G) in 74 GP
- Pending UFA, $4.25M AAV (2021-22)
- Destinations?
- Fantasy Impact?
- Jakob Chychrun, D (ADP: 88.6) last season: 21 Pts (7 G) in 47 GP.
- 3 more seasons at $4.6M AAV. It is fairly obvious he does not want to return to the desert next season.
- Destinations?
- Fantasy Impact?
- Darcy Kuemper, G (ADP: 22.8, 2nd RD) last season: 37-12-4, 2.54 GAA, .921 SV%, 57 GP
- Pending UFA, $4.5M AAV (2021-22)
- Destinations? Colorado, Anaheim, Edmonton
- Fantasy Impact? 📉
- John Gibson, G (ADP: ) last season: 18-26-11, 3.19 GAA, .904 SV%, 56 GP
- 5 seasons remaining at $6.4M AAV
- Destinations?
- Fantasy Impact?
Ask The Hacks
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